SoccerMarket & timing
Single season backtest strategy
Sometimes you want the microscope, not the telescope. This template restricts the backtest to Friday and Saturday matches within a single year.
Multi-year backtests smooth everything into one average, which is exactly what you do not want when checking whether a system survived a specific season. This template shows how time filters carve out a precise slice of history.
How the filter tree works
- Year: only matches played in 2024 qualify.
- Day of week: the match must fall on a Friday or Saturday.
Together they produce a compact, well-defined sample, one season's worth of end-of-week fixtures.
What to watch
- A single year is a small sample by construction. Use this template to inspect stability, never to prove profitability.
- Comparing the same system across different year slices is one of the best overfitting checks available: a real edge should not live in only one season.
- Day-of-week effects are mostly schedule artifacts; be careful about telling yourself stories.
Tweaks to try
- Duplicate the strategy for 2022 and 2023 and put the three curves side by side.
- Drop the day filter to compare weekend-only against full-season results.
- Swap in a month filter to isolate a season phase instead of a calendar year.
Use it as an analysis lens in backtesting on Pinnacle closing odds, not as a system to stake.
Filters used by this strategy
Related strategy templates
Home favorites The clear home favorite at short-ish odds: combines the favorite-side and odds-range filters.Major leagues only Keep only high-liquidity leagues: a one-filter way to avoid thin, soft markets.Weekend goals Over 2.5 goals on weekend fixtures: pairs a day-of-week filter with a totals odds range.Follow one team Only matches involving a specific team: shows how the team-name filter works.
Try this strategy in the builder
Opens pre-filled in the builder, ready to backtest on real Pinnacle closing odds.